Posts Tagged ‘McCain’

Election news

November 3, 2008

Palin costing McCain, poll suggests

  • Story Highlights
  • NEW: McCain would do better if vice presidential vote was separate, poll suggests
  • NEW: Fifty-three percent say Palin doesn’t agree with them on important issues
  • McCain warns an Obama win could give Dems complete control
  • Dems currently have 235-199 majority in the House; 51-49 advantage in the Senate

By Paul Steinhauser WASHINGTON (CNN) — A new national poll suggests Sarah Palin may be hurting Republican presidential nominee John McCain more than she’s helping him.

Fifty-seven percent of likely voters say Sarah Palin does not have the personal qualities a president should have.

Fifty-seven percent of likely voters say Sarah Palin does not have the personal qualities a president should have.

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A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Sunday indicates McCain’s running mate is growing less popular among voters and may be costing him a few crucial percentage points in the race for the White House.

Fifty-seven percent of likely voters questioned in the poll said Palin does not have the personal qualities a president should have. That’s up 8 points since September.

Fifty-three percent say she does not agree with them on important issues. That’s also higher than September.

“Just after the GOP convention in early September, 53 percent said they would vote for Palin over Joe Biden if there were a separate vote for vice president. Now, Biden would beat Palin by 12 points if the running mates were chosen in a separate vote,” said CNN Polling Director Keating Holland.

And what if voters were allowed to vote for president separately?

“It would be a 4-point edge for Barack Obama, 52 percent to 48 percent. Since the McCain-Palin ticket is currently getting 46 percent in a match-up against the Obama-Biden ticket, it looks like Palin’s presence on the GOP ballot is taking 2 percentage points away from McCain. In a close race, that might represent the margin of victory,” Holland said.

The unfavorable numbers for Palin, Alaska’s governor, also have been growing. They are 8 points higher in the current poll than in early October, and they’re twice as high as they were when McCain announced his running mate in late August.

“John McCain has also been suspect with conservatives, the base of the Republican Party, and they were never enthusiastic about his candidacy. Palin was a unusual pick. She was well known with conservative insiders but unknown outside. When she was named, there was a rush of enthusiasm among conservatives and everyone was impressed by McCain’s unusual and unexpected choice,” said Bill Schneider, CNN’s senior political analyst .

“The more many Americans have found out about Palin, the less they like her.”

Meanwhile, the poll also suggests Americans may not be as concerned as McCain about one-party rule if Obama is elected president.

One of McCain’s closing arguments has been that the Democrats are poised to increase their majorities in Congress, and that Obama — the Democratic presidential nominee — is “working out the details” with Democratic leaders to raise taxes, increase spending and “concede defeat in Iraq.”

But in the poll, 50 percent of likely voters said if Obama wins the White House, Congress should be controlled by Democrats, with 48 percent saying it should be controlled by Republicans.

Fifty-nine percent said if McCain wins the presidential election, Congress should be controlled by Democrats, with 39 percent saying Republicans should control it.

Democrats currently have a 235 to 199 majority in the House of Representatives and a 51 to 49 majority in the Senate — the chamber’s two independent senators are allied with the Democrats.

One of Obama’s closing points is that McCain would carry out George Bush’s policies if elected, saying the Arizona senator has “ridden shotgun” with the president on economic policy.

The poll suggests that 53 percent think McCain would mostly carry out Bush’s policies, with 45 percent saying he would not.

Only 28 percent approve of the way Bush is handling his job as president.

Likely voters questioned in the poll were also asked whether Obama will win the election. Video Watch more on the final days of campaigning »

“Nine in 10 think it’s likely; nearly half say it is very likely. Only 1 in 10 say it is very likely that McCain will win, while half say a McCain victory is unlikely,” Holland said.

How will Obama supporters react if he does not win on Tuesday? According to the poll, one in five will be angry; one in four will be upset but not angry. Most Obama supporters, however, say they will be disappointed but not angry or upset if McCain wins.

The poll also suggests the Democrats are much more excited about this election than Republicans. Forty-five percent of Democrats questioned said they are extremely enthusiastic about voting this year, compared to 28 percent of Republicans.

“The economy remains the No. 1 issue to most voters. But although 8 in 10 say that economic conditions are poor now, 62 percent say that the economy will be in good shape a year from now,” Holland said. “The economy, which is already a strong issue, jumped even further in importance after the financial crisis hit in September.

“And since the public tends to blame the Republicans more than the Democrats for that crisis, that event provided a boost not just to Barack Obama but to Democratic candidates across the country. Democratic congressional candidates have a 9-point lead in the ‘generic ballot’ question.”

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The generic ballot asks voters their preference for U.S. House without naming the candidates running in each district.

The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted Thursday through Saturday, with 1,017 adult Americans, including 950 registered voters and 716 likely voters, questioned by telephone. The survey’s sampling error ranges from plus or minus 3 percentage points to plus or minus 4.5 percentage points, depending on the question

Source: CNN

Study: Media coverage has favored Obama campaign

November 1, 2008

Study: Media coverage has favored Obama campaign

Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., throws a bottle of AP – Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Barack Obama, D-Ill., throws a bottle of water to a supporter …

NEW YORK – John McCain supporters who believe they haven’t gotten a fair shake from the media during the Republican’s candidacy against Barack Obama have a new study to point to.

Comments made by sources, voters, reporters and anchors that aired on ABC, CBS and NBC evening newscasts over the past two months reflected positively on Obama in 65 percent of cases, compared to 31 percent of cases with regards to McCain, according to the Center for Media and Public Affairs.

ABC’s “World News” had more balance than NBC’s “Nightly News” or the “CBS Evening News,” the group said.

Meanwhile, the first half of Fox News Channel‘s “Special Report” with Brit Hume showed more balance than any of the network broadcasters, although it was dominated by negative evaluations of both campaigns. The center didn’t evaluate programs on CNN or MSNBC.

“For whatever reason, the media are portraying Barack Obama as a better choice for president than John McCain,” said Robert Lichter, a George Mason University professor and head of the center. “If you watch the evening news, you’d think you should vote for Obama.”

The center analyzed 979 separate news stories shown between Aug. 23 and Oct. 24, and excluded evaluations based on the campaign horse race, including mention of how the candidates were doing in polls. For instance, when a voter was interviewed on CBS Oct. 14 saying he thought Obama brought a freshness to Washington, that was chalked up as a pro-Obama comment.

When NBC’s Andrea Mitchell reported Oct. 1 that some conservatives say that Sarah Palin is not ready for prime-time, that’s marked in the negative column for McCain.

ABC recorded 57 percent favorable comments toward the Democrats, and 42 percent positive for the Republicans. NBC had 56 percent positive for the Democrats, 16 percent for the Republicans. CBS had 73 percent positive (Obama), versus 31 percent (McCain).

Hume’s telecast had 39 percent favorable comments for McCain and 28 percent positive for the Democratic ticket.

It was the second study in two weeks to remark upon negative coverage for the McCain-Palin ticket. The Project for Excellence in Journalism concluded last week that McCain’s coverage has been overwhelmingly negative since the conventions ended, while Obama’s has been more mixed.

Meanwhile, another survey issued Friday by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press showed that television continues to be Americans’ main source for campaign news, particularly the cable news networks.

But there were clear partisan differences in where people turned.

For instance, of the people who said they got most of their campaign news from Fox News Channel, 52 percent identified themselves as Republican, 17 percent as Democrats and 30 percent as independents, the Pew center said.

MSNBC viewers interested in campaign news identified themselves at 11 percent Republican, 50 percent Democratic and 36 percent independent. The breakdown for CNN: 13 percent Republican, 45 percent Democrat, 38 percent independent.

The study was based on a survey of 2,011 people taken Oct. 17-20 and 24-27. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 percent.

from: Yahoo News